Polymarket Trader

willhw

0x57e702f59623d32fdf1c72584ad6d60cc412c361

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $126.13
Realized PnL: $115.73
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $705.36
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $157.19
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $81.45
Potential payout: $108.6
Potential profit: $27.15
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $54.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $68.18
User PnL: -$15

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $40
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.24
Potential profit: $45.24
User PnL: -$20

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.79
Potential profit: $29.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $28.85
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.6
Potential profit: $19.6
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $8.06
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $1.18
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 22% 68.18 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 29.41 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 28.85 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 714.29 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 50% 32 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 15.15 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 24.9% 108.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Down 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 18% 27.78 shares