Yes position
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Polymarket Trader
alisigu
0x57ed31142a19baf05159d789c9283eecbe1ff076
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.01
- Realized PnL
- $172.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.37
- Potential profit
- $12.37
- User PnL
- -$9.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.26
No position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.48
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.14
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 27?No 72% 2.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 26?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?No 99.9% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 26?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?No 99.8% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 26?No 99.9% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?No 95% 4.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 26?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?No 99.8% 13.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 26?No 99.9% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?No 50% 8 shares