Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Polymarket Trader
0x57f8...c954
0x57f8bd531d6a36c4869585cd560d5953024dc954
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $20.2
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $3.57
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $3.57
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 6.74 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 6.74 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 87% 5.95 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 27% 49.41 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes 26% 19.21 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 8.14 shares
- Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 24% 21.72 shares
- Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 23% 10.98 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 26% 10 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 9% 91.57 shares
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Yes 7% 124.88 shares
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Yes 8% 62.44 shares