Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $105.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $494.7
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $80.3
Polymarket Trader
0x580A
0x580ab85c4ea81ba06eb6bc4036d542a41137c4c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.47
- Realized PnL
- $498.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.36
- Potential profit
- $298.36
- User PnL
- -$114
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.31
- Potential profit
- $140.31
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.73
- Potential profit
- $74.73
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $14.17
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $47.56
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $4.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.39
- Potential profit
- $49.39
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.77
- Potential profit
- $47.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.58
- Potential profit
- $44.58
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.17
- Potential profit
- $41.17
- User PnL
- -$7.72
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.47
- Potential profit
- $39.47
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.54
- Potential profit
- $35.54
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.59
- Potential profit
- $34.59
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.45
- Potential profit
- $28.45
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.2
- Potential profit
- $27.2
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.21
- Potential profit
- $25.21
- User PnL
- -$21.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.63
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.27
- Potential profit
- $23.27
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.15
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- User PnL
- -$8.45
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.44
- Potential profit
- $20.44
- User PnL
- -$17.37
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.26
- Potential profit
- $20.26
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Heroic position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.84
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mad" this week? (April 5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 58% 13.79 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 53% 28.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown 30% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp 25% 8 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 60% 25 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 13% 107.69 shares
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico 91% 16.48 shares
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreNo 63% 15.87 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 69% 7.25 shares
- Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 77% 12.99 shares