Polymarket Trader

Duratio

@Thom_crypto

0x581d24e58039e1f569dacde9c288e028b51f2b06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $428.1
Realized PnL: $53.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $33.17
Potential payout: $8.29K
Potential profit: $8.26K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$21.01

Yes position

Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $111.78
Potential payout: $7.21K
Potential profit: $7.1K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$112.57

Yes position

Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$22.63

Yes position

Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.34K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.18
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$17.28

Yes position

Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $42.63
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $30.79

Yes position

Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $26.6
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$7.47

Yes position

Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.25

Yes position

Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $12.34
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $29.48
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$11.42

Yes position

Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $659.8
Potential profit: $657.49
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$274.99

Yes position

Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $376
Potential profit: $374.3
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$55.03

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $83
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $123.05
Potential profit: $122.32
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $23.95
Potential payout: $30.13
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22K

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.35K

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31K

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.24K

Karmine Corp Blue position

LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2K

Oh My God position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Disguised position

LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.45K

Team Heretics position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Odivelas Sports Club position

LoL: Verdant vs Odivelas Sports Club

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition position

LoL: GIANTX PRIDE vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5)

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

100 Thieves position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.97

Team WE position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.49

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $759.64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.98

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.74

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $635

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 5.9% 1,541.86 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 5% 2,132.16 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

No 53% 200 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

No 42% 200 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 52% 400 shares
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A

CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 37% 50 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 26% 500 shares
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

LYON 60% 1,292.55 shares
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

LYON 60.8% 836.47 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Karmine Corp 62% 1,631.94 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Karmine Corp 28% 499.99 shares