No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $3.16K
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $107.78
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $78.56
Polymarket Trader
Krass
0x581d4108ba018d56e573f424c2971c16efe1b2e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.52K
- Realized PnL
- $9.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $200.6
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $135.39
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $108
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $207.03
No position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $81.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $73.18
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $429.42
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $95.12
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $93.51
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $185.76
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $136.82
No position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $31.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.94
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $114
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $78
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $6.53
- User PnL
- $269.32
No position
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- User PnL
- $59.46
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $83
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $913.47
- Potential payout
- $998.33
- Potential profit
- $84.86
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$5.07
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $702.94
- Potential payout
- $949.92
- Potential profit
- $246.98
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$18.97
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $893.5
- Potential payout
- $938.05
- Potential profit
- $44.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $78.14
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $814.49
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $63.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $828.31
- Potential payout
- $895.47
- Potential profit
- $67.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $206.62
No position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $840.41
- Potential payout
- $861.52
- Potential profit
- $21.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $18.43
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $758.62
- Potential payout
- $824.58
- Potential profit
- $65.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $126.36
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $741.98
- Potential payout
- $799.98
- Potential profit
- $58
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $49
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $690.71
- Potential payout
- $750.77
- Potential profit
- $60.06
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $94.99
No position
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $730.5
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $576.24
- Potential payout
- $729.41
- Potential profit
- $153.18
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$31.17
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $542.48
- Potential payout
- $699.97
- Potential profit
- $157.49
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $62.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.59
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $808.54
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.52
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.99
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.5
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.12
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.97
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.41
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.44
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.03
No position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.38
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.29
Yes position
35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.6
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.61
No position
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.95
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.24
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.3
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.43
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.8
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.14
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232
No position
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.39
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 72% 48.02 shares
- Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes 76.3% 45 shares
- Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes 62.6% 90 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No 89% 200 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 82% 200 shares
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?No 92% 70 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 81% 200 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No 56% 41.71 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 18% 56.5 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No 77.6% 85.65 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No 77.5% 59.9 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No 76.8% 86 shares