Polymarket Trader

0x581EA5F2d4f413993D5965cEdf02B7F5135EbDEA-1769648632694

0x581ea5f2d4f413993d5965cedf02b7f5135ebdea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $297.69
Realized PnL: $4.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 73.9%
Current value: $297.69
Potential payout: $402.82
Potential profit: $105.14
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$100.01

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.25
Potential profit: $126.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.47
Potential profit: $46.47
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.54
Potential profit: $22.54
User PnL: -$15.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.65
Potential profit: $21.65
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $9.35
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.31
Potential profit: $6.31
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$2.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.02

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.36

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?

No 99.2% 380 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?

No 99.4% 73.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 23?

No 99.9% 215.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 22?

No 99% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 22?

No 99.5% 680 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 19?

No 99.6% 90.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?

No 99.4% 80.94 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?

No 99% 80.94 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?

No 99.9% 150.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?

No 99.9% 25.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12?

No 99.9% 660 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?

No 99.5% 155 shares