Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $193.05
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $76.95
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$22.95
Polymarket Trader
0xmo
0x5824d1f667a1f7914657235140f8d36d8768dcf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $193.05
- Realized PnL
- $187.18
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.29
- Potential profit
- $200.29
- User PnL
- -$49.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.37
- Potential profit
- $110.37
- User PnL
- -$22.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$11.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$12.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.2
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.05
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
Yes position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$9.07
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.7
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 80% 270 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 90.6% 245 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 94.3% 245 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 51% 455 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 53% 330 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 53% 125 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 47% 500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 56% 500 shares
- Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No 96% 270 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 93% 200 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 10.1% 200 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?No 81% 48.56 shares