No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $48.8
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $18.3
Polymarket Trader
0x5828...08e5
0x58282d03c4c4837e3e2981985d6e73f15db608e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $58.24
- Realized PnL
- -$9.78
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.22
- Multiplier
- 6.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.7%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $14.77
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.95x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.32x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 11 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 47.3% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.4% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.4% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No 92% 7 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 78% 5 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 22% 15 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 67.9% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 32.1% 8 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 17% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 10 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 38% 6 shares