No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.3%
- Current value
- $360.94
- Potential payout
- $717
- Potential profit
- $356.06
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- $180.97
Polymarket Trader
marels
@Uproar682979
0x5829b85680ced1a68916e750d373b904feb7e46b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $476.57
- Realized PnL
- $4.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $114.1
- Potential payout
- $652
- Potential profit
- $537.9
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$48.9
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282
- Potential profit
- $282
- User PnL
- -$90.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Medal of Honor" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.5
Yes position
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $463.25
No position
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $453.44
Over position
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.76
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $333.6
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.75
Yes position
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.89
Under position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.25
Yes position
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.23
Over position
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.75
Yes position
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $157.84
Utah State Aggies position
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Rams
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.35
Over position
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.8
No position
Will Cramer say "Bitcoin" 4+ times during TBPN on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.14
Yes position
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.01
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $94.47
No position
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.48
Yes position
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $66.17
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $64.63
Yes position
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Yes position
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.12
Yes position
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No 52.6% 770 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?No 16% 168 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?No 16% 336 shares
- Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes 22% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?No 81% 386 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?No 81% 394 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?No 84% 780 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?No 49% 504 shares
- Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No 79.9% 770 shares
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 25.1% 717 shares
- Will "House Tour" get between 14 and 15 million views in the first week?No 66% 305 shares
- Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?No 0.1% 242 shares