Polymarket Trader

pacas

0x582c23426838cfcf39636ef7d2427fbaa724eb16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $112.59
Realized PnL: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.4
Potential profit: $491.4
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.79
Potential profit: $299.79
User PnL: -$15.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.99
Potential profit: $204.99
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $164.11
Potential profit: $140.31
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $29.92
Potential payout: $153.43
Potential profit: $123.51
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $120.75
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $20.63
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $129.38
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $141
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $283.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14.4% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 13.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 17% 99.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 53.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 19% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 164.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 204.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 22.4% 312.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 27% 96.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 10 shares