Polymarket Trader

0x582e15465BF327797eCD12B82332A3674212Ff4F-1778503643500

0x582e15465bf327797ecd12b82332a3674212ff4f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.25
Realized PnL: $8.42
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $40.16
Potential profit: $31.91
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.05
Potential profit: $38.05
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $9.24
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $12.76
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $7.49
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.65
Potential profit: $15.65
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?

Yes 96% 22.92 shares
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 83.9% 20.25 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Yes 93% 21.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 63.9% 15.65 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?

Yes 93% 34.41 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?

No 78.8% 38.05 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.9% 40.16 shares
Trump kiss by May 31?

Yes 76.2% 13.12 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Yes 0.1% 21.27 shares
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Yes 0.1% 28.8 shares
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

No 99.8% 6.35 shares