Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.99
- Potential profit
- $223.99
- User PnL
- -$15.43
Polymarket Trader
0x583482fBDb66E1A0Aa78262dE7FCf8Bea28a0b88-1771938646076
0x583482fbdb66e1a0aa78262de7fcf8bea28a0b88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.43
- Realized PnL
- $225.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $158.3
- Potential profit
- $156.16
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $145.3
- Potential profit
- $142.47
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$5.88
No position
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $82
- User PnL
- -$12.6
Yes position
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$42.2
Yes position
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $55.08
- Potential profit
- $54.58
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.36
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.38
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $38.02
- Potential profit
- $37.89
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.97
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $36.8
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $35.5
- Potential profit
- $32.13
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.34
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$12.6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$10.15
Yes position
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Yes position
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.8
Yes position
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.26
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
Yes position
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
No position
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No 45% 13 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No 91% 5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 90% 8.9 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 56.6% 8.19 shares
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Yes 25% 22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 34% 18.8 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 72% 7.5 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 77% 10.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 38% 21.3 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 10% 67.59 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 67% 8 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 145.3 shares