Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $7.1K
- User PnL
- -$836.69
Polymarket Trader
quoshasher
0x583d81247b1f6dd897dd095dca37805f0bc86143
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $444.66
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- User PnL
- -$10.67
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- User PnL
- -$235.57
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$983.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$190.86
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$15.99
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.78
- Potential profit
- $304.78
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $261.9
- Potential profit
- $261.9
- User PnL
- -$10.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.38
- Potential profit
- $108.38
- User PnL
- -$12.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.29
- Potential profit
- $90.29
- User PnL
- -$21.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.3
- Potential profit
- $83.3
- User PnL
- -$43.31
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.13
- Potential profit
- $83.13
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.52
- Potential profit
- $72.52
- User PnL
- -$13.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.38
- Potential profit
- $64.38
- User PnL
- -$32.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.32
- Potential profit
- $62.32
- User PnL
- -$18.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.11
- Potential profit
- $31.11
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown 50% 64.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp 70% 49.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 57% 350.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 14.3% 350.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 88% 258.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 73.5% 68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 74% 67.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 71% 70.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp 51% 49.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 48% 52.08 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 37.5% 5.33 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 38.8% 2,530.15 shares