Polymarket Trader

0x5856...e2b1

0x5856f1d98853c8943ef00a7fa41bab691063e2b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.64K
Realized PnL: $4.5K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.27K
Potential profit: $60.27K
User PnL: -$782.28

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $327.45
Potential payout: $11.1K
Potential profit: $10.77K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $703.18
Potential payout: $10.82K
Potential profit: $10.12K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.87K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $612.25
Potential payout: $10.29K
Potential profit: $9.68K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.85K
Potential profit: $8.85K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $7.64K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $4.48K
User PnL: -$2.15K

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $3.12K
User PnL: -$172.14

Yes position

Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.6
Potential profit: $122.6
User PnL: -$7.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.29

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 10,289.89 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3% 11,100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 48% 4,479.17 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.9% 2,045.94 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 6.5% 122.6 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 3% 1,015.7 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 2.7% 1,078.2 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 48.9% 2,045.95 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 2.9% 3,392.76 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 2.4% 1,389.09 shares