Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.17K
- Potential profit
- $20.17K
- User PnL
- -$201.47
Polymarket Trader
0x586B30Cdee5cE3D339a9263893a1EAC5b832646c-1775570552911
0x586b30cdee5ce3d339a9263893a1eac5b832646c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.6
- Realized PnL
- $8.71K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.71K
- Potential profit
- $6.71K
- User PnL
- -$707.11
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$56
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$17.6
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$28.3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$58
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
Andre Harriman-Annous: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$104
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$40.15
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$36
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$21.6
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Senegal?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $36.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$75
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Club Atlético de Madrid position
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$81.56
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$34.63
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$28.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.89
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $817.86
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $782
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $339.5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $305.48
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.05
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?Yes 4% 200 shares
- Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?Yes 4% 300 shares
- Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes 3% 300 shares
- Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?Yes 1.7% 451.68 shares
- Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes 2.5% 1,100 shares
- Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?Yes 2.4% 1,100 shares
- Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?Yes 1.1% 876.62 shares
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?Yes 9% 500 shares
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?Yes 3% 1,200 shares
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?Yes 3% 1,100 shares