Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
hammerstak
0x58734d549e1e4bc3b6f5197e9ed58321a583db3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.16
- Realized PnL
- -$870.94
- Win rate
- 13.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $661.8
- Potential profit
- $661.8
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $78.16
- Potential payout
- $306.51
- Potential profit
- $228.35
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$45.58
Yes position
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.46
- Potential profit
- $255.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.2
- Potential profit
- $88.2
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.78
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.56
Yes position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$15.81
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.92
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$103.43
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119.26
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$384.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 0.1% 217.83 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 10% 88.2 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes 0.2% 4,483.63 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes 8.8% 4,483.63 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 3.5% 571.43 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes 1.5% 661.8 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 2,773.11 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 443.88 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 0.3% 1,072.34 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 63% 107.69 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 8% 1,009.13 shares