Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.23
- Potential profit
- $88.23
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
Rational55
0x587496ae67557c5bb77c7d233ec27638c7fec3a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $91.09
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.3
- Potential profit
- $80.3
- User PnL
- -$58
No position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
Ends Aug 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 393054.39x
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House?
Ends Aug 16, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
Yes position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022?
Ends Jun 10, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022?
Ends Jun 10, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 639520.18x
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022?
Ends Jul 11, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022?
Ends Jul 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022?
Ends Jul 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2352410.99x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Solana above $160 on August 9?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Y
Yes position
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
Ends Oct 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 29, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
$35 position
Will Solana ($SOL) hit $35 or $50 first?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022?
Ends Jun 9, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1093232.55x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 17, 2022?
Ends Jun 17, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 840200.36x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will $MATIC reach $1 by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 73.1% 17.78 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 86% 13.15 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 73.3% 34.11 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 44.5% 44.94 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes 74% 20.27 shares
- RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?No 20% 25 shares
- Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?No 79% 25.32 shares
- Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?No 26% 19.23 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 46.2% 43.29 shares
- Solana above $160 on August 9?No 70% 7.14 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 70.4% 21.31 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 70.4% 7.1 shares