No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $992.45
- Potential payout
- $661.63K
- Potential profit
- $660.64K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$88.84K
Polymarket Trader
0x58820cFc9b65F8b3b87bF8a79D8C6D79b1BA55a2-1774143786264
0x58820cfc9b65f8b3b87bf8a79d8c6d79b1ba55a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.61K
- Realized PnL
- $20.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $121.12
- Potential payout
- $242.24K
- Potential profit
- $242.12K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.79K
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.38K
- Potential profit
- $20.38K
- User PnL
- -$3.98K
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $209.73
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $53.85
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $776.27
- Potential profit
- $776.27
- User PnL
- -$121.63
No position
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.3%
- Current value
- $69.13
- Potential payout
- $95.62
- Potential profit
- $26.49
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$6.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $35.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.72
- Potential profit
- $16.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.41
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.45
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $232.04
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.19
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.02
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $122.13
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.93
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.87
No position
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.11
No position
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $45.9
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $36.26
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $32.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.93
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.64
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 16,666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 8,333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3% 1,300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.9% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.1% 6,451.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.1% 6,451.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.5% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3% 6,666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.3% 4,347.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.2% 2,702.47 shares