Polymarket Trader

0x18C9Bf0e806b302E8c561a0dE9F6615d3c5987F3-1770542140390

0x58867f8b27366dde08cd807c11a8d983444bd68f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.44
Realized PnL: $120.61
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $80.18
Potential profit: $74.28
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $51.39
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $40.7
Potential profit: $30.32
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 1% 2,000 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 99.9% 120 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 25% 120 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Up 3% 66.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Up 5% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Up 10% 50 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Yes 27.3% 3.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Up 61% 8.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 62% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 59% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 59% 8.47 shares