Polymarket Trader

wukong6363

0x58887c6ce19afb521ae126ad917fb9ad8420940e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $646.24
Realized PnL: $3.87K
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $80.16
Potential payout: $543.48
Potential profit: $463.31
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: -$19.84

No position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $463.36
Potential payout: $466.63
Potential profit: $3.27
User PnL: $63.36

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.45
Potential profit: $450.45
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $425.53
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $102.72
Potential payout: $118.75
Potential profit: $16.03
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.67

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.68

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.95

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.71

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.42

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.45

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.76

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.67

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.05

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 22.2% 450.45 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Yes 29% 172.41 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 47% 425.53 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 67% 447.76 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Yes 18.4% 543.48 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Yes 37% 540.54 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?

Yes 81.4% 491.67 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Yes 55% 909.09 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 32% 1,562.5 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Yes 76.7% 521.5 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 74% 945.95 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 9.5% 1,052.63 shares