Polymarket Trader

Balfang

0x58b9d0390d5a134bcfbacd1157403e44bdade3ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $190.33
Realized PnL: $820.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $64.4
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $75.6
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$35

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $27.03
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $87.98
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$26.97

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $68.99
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.38
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31.9
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.46
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.1
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.54
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $38.37
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.4
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.53
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.51
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.49
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.24
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.36
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.79

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.51

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.6

Yes position

Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.48

Yes position

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.23

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.89

Yes position

Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.25

Yes position

Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.75

Yes position

Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Yes position

Will NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

Will Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.89

Yes position

Will Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.65

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.54

Yes position

Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.49

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

Yes position

Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

Yes position

Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 91% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 91% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27.5% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 4.3% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 88% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 68% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 88% 5 shares