Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $48.53
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $539.71
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$51.47
Polymarket Trader
Vadebaggers
0x58be196134b7ddecf55ecf96401fb45638606132
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.53
- Realized PnL
- $4.14
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.98
- Potential profit
- $33.98
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.37
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.7
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.67
No position
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US forces in Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.52
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No 86.1% 124.73 shares
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 48% 104.17 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 0.4% 8,914.88 shares
- Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No 26% 15.37 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,666.66 shares
- Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No 30% 53.33 shares
- US forces in Iran before August?Yes 3.3% 167.83 shares
- US forces in Iran before August?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes 2.7% 750.07 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes 3.2% 62.5 shares
- US forces in Iran before August?Yes 13% 76.92 shares