No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $190.79
- Potential payout
- $237
- Potential profit
- $46.22
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $19.39
Polymarket Trader
Jojonakos13
0x58cb6d159f7c6761a833e46d7fbb4cafb2ae3cd6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $303.9
- Realized PnL
- $971.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $38.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161.1
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $74.22
- Potential payout
- $81.11
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Under position
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.64
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.29
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.94
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.23
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.11
Over position
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.94
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81% 40 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 70% 47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 70% 140 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91% 81.11 shares
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under 22% 15.62 shares
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under 1% 25 shares
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Under 16% 18.75 shares
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under 64% 15.63 shares
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under 36% 25 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 16.9% 95 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 37% 80 shares