Polymarket Trader

0x58CB86AEbA6335Ae75bB6d45e16Bc7d04d1Cf9E8-1763399941001

0x58cb86aeba6335ae75bb6d45e16bc7d04d1cf9e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.43
Realized PnL: $582.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $237.31
Potential profit: $233.87
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$21.56

Yes position

Will MOUZ win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.01
Potential profit: $139.01
User PnL: -$44.66

Yes position

Will Team Falcons win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.56
Potential profit: $118.56
User PnL: -$43.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.94
Potential profit: $108.94
User PnL: -$6.74

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $38.84
Potential profit: $38.29
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $29.94
User PnL: -$2.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 9AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $19.98
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$9.69

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $14.71
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$9.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 22, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 108.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 68% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Team Falcons win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Yes 17.5% 28.56 shares
Will MOUZ win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 6.8% 25.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 28.2% 35.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 148.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 148.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 8.1% 79.36 shares
Will MOUZ win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Yes 40.6% 46.75 shares
Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?

Yes 57% 17 shares