Y
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $18.11
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $35.95
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Polymarket Trader
DaveAlpha
0x58d263d6d3b2527bebe8dc29e1b9d989498c0de7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $170.82
- Realized PnL
- $459.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $26.67
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $24.62
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $6.67
Top Esports position
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Over position
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $19.19
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $13.06
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Y
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $20.15
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.15
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $24.57
- Potential payout
- $27.36
- Potential profit
- $2.79
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $4.57
N
No position
Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $22.93
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.93
N
No position
Laso Finance FDV above $15M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $22.49
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Over position
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Shara Magomedov position
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Enterprise Esports position
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Under position
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Over position
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Over position
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Over position
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Daniel Merida Aguilar position
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.78
Jenson Brooksby position
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Under position
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Over position
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 73.1% 27.36 shares
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver 62% 32.26 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 81% 24.69 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance 92% 21.74 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?No 84% 23.81 shares
- Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?No 72% 27.78 shares
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)Top Esports 60% 33.33 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes 50% 40 shares
- Laso Finance FDV above $15M one day after launchNo 87% 22.99 shares
- Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchNo 85% 23.53 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes 66% 30.3 shares
- Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 PlayoffsREBORN 66% 30.3 shares