Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $63.35
- Potential payout
- $127.98
- Potential profit
- $64.63
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$26.25
Polymarket Trader
0x58D470c1DC778234036F68b2652FB13192b52C60-1767688335834
0x58d470c1dc778234036f68b2652fb13192b52c60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.55
- Realized PnL
- $28.49
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $23.7
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.4
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 59.4% 16.83 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes 64% 15.38 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 79% 18.99 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Yes 34% 50 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 83% 42.17 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes 36% 20 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 64% 30 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Yes 29% 50 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 30 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 42.5% 40 shares
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes 74% 10 shares