Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$550.99
Polymarket Trader
0x58e0a4cA574cbb886988e1312aD73f1479095136-1773327394900
0x58e0a4ca574cbb886988e1312ad73f1479095136
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.41K
- Realized PnL
- $1.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $594.37
- Potential payout
- $679.28
- Potential profit
- $84.91
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $590.67
- Potential payout
- $620.77
- Potential profit
- $30.11
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.56
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $225.82
- Potential payout
- $251.89
- Potential profit
- $26.07
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $25.82
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $238
- User PnL
- -$10
Jaqueline Cristian position
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Tamara Korpatsch position
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatsch
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$15
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard position
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Hamad Medjedovic position
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Felix Auger-Aliassime position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $20.29
- Potential profit
- $20.22
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Max Schoenhaus position
Heilbronn: Max Schoenhaus vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Anna Kalinskaya position
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Laura Samson position
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Martin Krumich position
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Nick Kyrgios position
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Diana Shnaider position
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Guy Den Ouden position
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Nava
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Rinky Hijikata position
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Rinky Hijikata
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Mark Lajal position
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.52
- Potential profit
- $8.52
- User PnL
- -$4
Jiri Lehecka position
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Marcel Zielinski position
ITF Rosbach: Marcel Zielinski vs Fons Van Sambeek
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $999.09
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $118.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.13
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.78
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.61
Diana Shnaider position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.05
Gabriela Ruse position
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.75
Benjamin Bonzi position
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.15
Mirra Andreeva position
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.07
Elina Avanesyan position
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkova
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Nikola Bartunkova position
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.23
Karolina Pliskova position
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Dayana Yastremska position
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will Nicolás Tagliafico be in Argentina's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84.7% 131.9 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 79.4% 125.94 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 79.4% 125.94 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 319.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 155.74 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 50% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 13.98 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 83% 240.96 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 83% 240.96 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 83% 120.48 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 83% 120.48 shares