Polymarket Trader

0x64acEC98806aA25dC58DAAf6Dd8540A1A106Bc9A-1768314641040

0x58e4acebacf2682b06e8bdb107d6b1d821bfea45

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.45
Realized PnL: $0.17
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.25
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $32.73
Potential profit: $31.9
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15.4%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $11.14
Multiplier: 6.51x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.59
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $5.94
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.77
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $6.66
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.47
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 32.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 12.5% 8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 7.6% 13.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 21.2% 16.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 250 shares