Polymarket Trader

SlappyMcHappyNutz

0x58f7e51d60743528da31c839a715ae55fb6d8e4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.59
Realized PnL: $564.24
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.79
Potential profit: $411.79
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $21.58
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $83.68
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$18.42

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $18.38
Potential payout: $96.25
Potential profit: $77.87
Multiplier: 5.24x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.04
Potential profit: $55.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $18.57
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $22.24
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$1.43

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $25.59
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $18.76
Potential payout: $21.79
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $10.24
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $11.15
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $1.06
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.96

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.18

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake news" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

No position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Radical left" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

No position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will $DJT's market cap be less than 3.5b

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?

Yes 6.8% 293.22 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?

Yes 4.2% 118.58 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Yes 9.1% 55.04 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 17% 29.41 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 85% 11.76 shares
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 90% 11.11 shares
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 89.7% 11.15 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.4% 20.49 shares