Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
vam2025
0x59031f775ca0f6b458b68c235f13f0c161524f6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.44
- Realized PnL
- $92.6
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $221.43
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$33.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $147.92
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$14.08
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $106.39
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$15.28
Yes position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $71.6
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$31.6
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.72
- Potential profit
- $57.72
- User PnL
- -$38.85
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $35.79
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $7.07
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.3%
- Current value
- $17.87
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $19.17
- Multiplier
- 2.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $29.84
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$12.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.46
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 660k+ BTC by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 69% 38.46 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 67.3% 57.72 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes 74.7% 38.79 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 47% 31.91 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 153.85 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 62% 27.24 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 54% 37.04 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 78% 38.46 shares
- Stripe IPO before 2027?Yes 50% 80 shares
- Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?Yes 80.4% 74.66 shares