Polymarket Trader

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0x590ad8fa9986c66c72b455c89ddc01aee3883699

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.14K
Realized PnL: $4.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$38.5

No position

Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $3.47K
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$385.97

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $51.18
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $53.68
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $896.33
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $38.57
Potential payout: $580
Potential profit: $541.43
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$11.89

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $146.7
Potential payout: $575.31
Potential profit: $428.61
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$25.89

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $64.68
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $495.32
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $14.28

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.2%
Current value: $125.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $374.25
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: $25.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $48.07
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $411.93
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $47.15
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $412.85
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $58.12
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $256.88
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $39.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $260.25
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$11.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $568.01

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $369.85

Perry position

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.4

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286

Joshua position

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150

No position

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.99

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Ngannou position

MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.11

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.15

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.97

Rousey position

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.71

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.28

No position

Hayden Davis confirmed behind $YZY?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.64

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.12

No position

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $31.3

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $26.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.87

Yes position

Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.84

Yes position

Will "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.68

Yes position

Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

No 96.5% 0.25 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.4% 1,150 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 300 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 315 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 460 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 460 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 560 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 580 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 950 shares
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No 97.2% 199.99 shares
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

No 96.5% 154 shares
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

No 95.5% 200.66 shares