Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$63
Polymarket Trader
alternativ
0x5916b496305866be71dca6ab72251b8b33e9a3fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $210.74
- Realized PnL
- $644.36
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $193.28
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$132.29
Yes position
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $943.4
- Potential profit
- $943.4
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850.82
- Potential profit
- $850.82
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $678.22
- Potential profit
- $678.22
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $33m and $37m?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $594
- Potential profit
- $594
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.65
- Potential profit
- $322.65
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.56
- Potential profit
- $225.56
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $157.89
- Potential profit
- $155.21
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $130.43
- Potential profit
- $128.74
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $121.8
- Potential profit
- $117.11
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.8
- Potential profit
- $114.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $70.52
- Potential profit
- $70.06
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.55
- Potential profit
- $26.55
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.62
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.66
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
Yes position
Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 11.2% 448 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 30.5% 984.96 shares
- Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.8% 70.52 shares
- Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 1.9% 157.89 shares
- Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.5% 121.8 shares
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.3% 130.43 shares
- Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.8% 1,531.54 shares
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 99.3% 38.16 shares