hanzoissoback

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.86
Potential profit: $52.86
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.15
Potential profit: $40.15
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.83
Potential profit: $15.83
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.33
Potential profit: $12.33
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.77
Potential profit: $4.77
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43
Potential profit: $3.43
User PnL: -$0.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET