0x5934...48fc

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.83
Potential profit: $210.83
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.83
Potential profit: $210.83
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.83
Potential profit: $210.83
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$16.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$16.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.75
Potential profit: $172.75
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.1
Potential profit: $170.1
User PnL: -$85.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.08
Potential profit: $161.08
User PnL: -$14.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.08
Potential profit: $161.08
User PnL: -$14.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.21
Potential profit: $148.21
User PnL: -$13.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.21
Potential profit: $148.21
User PnL: -$74.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.21
Potential profit: $148.21
User PnL: -$13.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.21
Potential profit: $148.21
User PnL: -$13.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.21
Potential profit: $148.21
User PnL: -$13.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.11
Potential profit: $145.11
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.11
Potential profit: $145.11
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.11
Potential profit: $145.11
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.11
Potential profit: $145.11
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.11
Potential profit: $145.11
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.11
Potential profit: $145.11
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.24
Potential profit: $142.24
User PnL: -$12.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.24
Potential profit: $142.24
User PnL: -$12.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.24
Potential profit: $142.24
User PnL: -$71.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.76

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 55°F or below on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or below on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.33

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.75

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.19

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?