Polymarket Trader

trademaster4000

0x59369f79bd0c30700a9e9594727d3d51449fc2d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.19K
Realized PnL: $184.88
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81K
Potential profit: $23.81K
User PnL: -$10.02K

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $5.54K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$3.81K

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Padres

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$299.06

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $328.57
Potential profit: $328.57
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.09
Potential profit: $296.09
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will anyone say "GPT" 15+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.64
Potential profit: $165.64
User PnL: -$90

Padres position

Red Sox vs. Padres

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.33
Potential profit: $156.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.58
Potential profit: $46.58
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will anyone say "Sam" or "Altman" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Miami position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.78
Potential profit: $42.78
User PnL: -$11.55

No position

Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will anyone say "Deep Research" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.67
Potential profit: $21.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.86

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.44

No position

Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.27

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.2

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.92

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.72

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

OpenAI browser by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.76

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.86

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.1

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 74.3% 6,731.3 shares
Miami vs. Indiana

Miami 27% 42.78 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 14% 285.71 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

No 7% 328.57 shares
Dodgers vs. Padres

Dodgers 28.5% 1,049.34 shares
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 1.6% 282.89 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 0.2% 2,744.52 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?

Yes 1.4% 354.04 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 74% 384.43 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 69% 384.43 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

No 6% 322.26 shares
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 99.9% 86.95 shares