No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.5K
- Potential payout
- $14.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $35.2
Polymarket Trader
012eff56v
0x59392dec0681a0b7c76b88360ee0ff0a34aa2c0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.05K
- Realized PnL
- $20.18
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$1.51K
Y
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $270.25
- Potential payout
- $486.94
- Potential profit
- $216.69
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$22.48
Y
Yes position
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $254.98
- Potential payout
- $418
- Potential profit
- $163.02
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $12.54
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $6.46
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $98.54
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $7.61
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $97.39
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.35
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.21
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58% 33 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.8% 105 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 56% 53 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 56% 14.02 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 7.46 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 62% 8.06 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 5.43 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 63% 2.24 shares
- Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 94% 358.45 shares
- Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 94.1% 192 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 61% 20 shares
- Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58% 250 shares