Polymarket Trader

0x594e...d0a4

0x594ecaf1be9e96899eb2a85a22a85c919576d0a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $111.77
Realized PnL: -$1.02
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $24.84
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.38
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.6%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $13.96
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$4.89

No position

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $14.72
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $11.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.43
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $11.34
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.28
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.56
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.2%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.6%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 86.7% 5 shares
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

No 77% 7 shares
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?

No 87% 9 shares
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Yes 9% 15 shares
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Yes 18% 8 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 43.9% 7 shares
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

No 69% 6 shares
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes 31% 6 shares
China coup attempt before 2027?

No 96.6% 5 shares
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes 24% 8 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 37% 8 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 63.1% 5 shares