Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Current value
- $468.59
- Potential payout
- $800.33
- Potential profit
- $331.73
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $297.6
Polymarket Trader
0x595c...1a1d
0x595c637d83b3eb81b75609d278c14474bf1a1a1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $623.9
- Realized PnL
- $4.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $80.01
- Potential payout
- $500.08
- Potential profit
- $420.07
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $59.15
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $23.11
- Potential payout
- $253.99
- Potential profit
- $230.87
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $29.2
- Potential payout
- $129.78
- Potential profit
- $100.58
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.48
- Potential payout
- $99.83
- Potential profit
- $88.35
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.25
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.87
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.81
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.11
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.77
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.48
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.98
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.45
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 24% 5 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 46% 3.07 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes 13.7% 7.3 shares
- Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Yes 3.8% 30 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes 15% 25 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes 11.9% 29.92 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes 15% 25 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 32.5% 27.51 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes 10% 17.2 shares
- Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Yes 1.9% 3 shares
- Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Yes 3.3% 123.03 shares