No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Polymarket Trader
halisilady
0x5961ec67dc413f53d0918898df9f6b72a07ff0d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.85
- Realized PnL
- $166.13
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5.09
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pirates position
Pirates vs. Reds
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.73
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump be president by September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will ECB raise interest rates in January 2025?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will People’s Republic of China win the most gold medals at the 2024 Paralympics?
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
X banned in EU before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
MetaMask airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will $USDT depeg by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 98.3% 5.09 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 93.1% 8.06 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes 89% 5.51 shares
- Pirates vs. RedsPirates 49% 223 shares
- Pirates vs. RedsPirates 49% 100 shares
- Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No 98.5% 2.2 shares
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No 97.3% 3.1 shares
- Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No 97.6% 5.74 shares
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No 92% 5.6 shares
- Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No 93.5% 5.73 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No 98.3% 1.55 shares
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?No 99.7% 2.41 shares