Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $11.67K
- Potential profit
- $9.63K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$58.32
Polymarket Trader
puntersthompson
0x5964966ccc7032892a4d4740c41b3aac6404776b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.67K
- Realized PnL
- $48.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$5.91K
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.65K
- Potential profit
- $8.65K
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $654.55
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.38K
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.4K
- Potential profit
- $7.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.59K
- Potential profit
- $6.59K
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.78K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- User PnL
- -$416.11
No position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $4.66K
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$439.3
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $981.48
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$18.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$450
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $987.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$750
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04K
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39K
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $967.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.45
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.82
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.44
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514
No position
AOC pregnant in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.45
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $393.82
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
Ends Dec 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $369.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No 40% 2,500 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 27% 3,703.7 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 18% 11,666.67 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 8.2% 8,031.3 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 47% 8,510.64 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 76% 3,684.21 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?No 48% 625 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 72% 1,041.67 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 17% 3,264.71 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 57% 1,491.23 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?Yes 30% 6,666.67 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 69% 1,449.28 shares