Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $170.28
- Potential profit
- $167.81
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Polymarket Trader
0x596590D2E13bfed9705C46Aa8A21EFf5aF1033B5-1769106319949
0x596590d2e13bfed9705c46aa8a21eff5af1033b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80.41
- Realized PnL
- $3.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.44
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $93.76
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $93.05
- Potential profit
- $88.82
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $91.79
- Potential profit
- $84.59
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $63.34
- Potential profit
- $63.06
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $60.91
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $55.07
- Potential profit
- $45.35
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $54.88
- Potential profit
- $51.78
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $42.7
- Potential profit
- $38.33
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $32.47
- Potential profit
- $28.43
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $30.74
- Potential profit
- $24.11
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $27.24
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $17.08
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $9.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $289.52
Yes position
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.27x
- User PnL
- $193.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.32
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.91
Yes position
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.12
Yes position
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.28
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.15
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.79
Yes position
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Division One position
Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.15
ALGO Esports position
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 41% 17.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 29% 30.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 31.8% 34.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?No 72.9% 9.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 27?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 29.3% 34.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 32.7% 30.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 28.9% 942.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 96% 308.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 8.5% 942.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 7.7% 21.22 shares