Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $32.74K
- Potential profit
- $29.63K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.05K
Polymarket Trader
LongShortNeutral
0x596791326c299873909b51d0e64f409fab7e22c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.43K
- Realized PnL
- -$117.28
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $72.31
- Potential payout
- $28.92K
- Potential profit
- $28.85K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.29K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $24K
- User PnL
- -$8.67K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.25K
- Potential profit
- $20.25K
- User PnL
- -$761.07
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $8.91K
- Potential profit
- $7.66K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump transgender sports ban?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.26
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85
No position
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
No position
Megaquake in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Yes position
Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.87
No position
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$102.7
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.3
Yes position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$188.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 36.1% 24,000 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 21.1% 50,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 32.4% 33,923.44 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 20,248.35 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 38.8% 8,911.4 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 21.9% 82,736.94 shares
- Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No 97.1% 250 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 98.3% 220 shares
- Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes 82% 150 shares
- Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes 70% 200 shares
- Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?No 79% 130 shares
- Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No 81% 130 shares