Polymarket Trader

Spongedude

0x59681b12d6d0b9ab854f99b57df022bfc53996f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $925.16
Realized PnL: $4.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $139.1
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$53.49

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $181.42
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$18.58

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $278.18
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $933.94
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $78.18

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $128.25
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$71.75

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$888.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $198.21
Potential payout: $950.63
Potential profit: $752.42
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $1.48

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.56
Potential profit: $535.56
User PnL: -$48.2

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.67
Potential profit: $428.67
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $406.25
Potential profit: $406.25
User PnL: -$195

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.19
Potential profit: $369.19
User PnL: -$257.41

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.76
Potential profit: $361.76
User PnL: -$195.35

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.74
Potential profit: $361.74
User PnL: -$195.34

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.19
Potential profit: $337.19
User PnL: -$195.57

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.15
Potential profit: $326.15
User PnL: -$195.69

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.03
Potential profit: $324.03
User PnL: -$197.66

Yes position

Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Argentina?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$4.8

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.54
Potential profit: $317.54
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.97
Potential profit: $312.97
User PnL: -$97.02

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $288.46
User PnL: -$196.15

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.1
Potential profit: $269.1
User PnL: -$196.44

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.07
Potential profit: $258.07
User PnL: -$103

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.75
Potential profit: $241.75
User PnL: -$48.35

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.2
Potential profit: $240.2
User PnL: -$196.96

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.95
Potential profit: $236.95
User PnL: -$199.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.38

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.66

76ers position

Heat vs. 76ers

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.46

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.58

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.24

Over position

Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.49

Team USA Stars position

Team World vs. Team USA Stars

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.01

Hornets position

Knicks vs. Hornets

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.15

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.5

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.86

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.67

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.35

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.73

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.9

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.28

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.58

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.58

Wizards position

Pacers vs. Wizards

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.88

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.9% 462.82 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.5% 487.8 shares
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?

Yes 11% 87.64 shares
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?

Yes 5.9% 163.22 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Under 57% 171.51 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 59% 165.78 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Under 82% 60.05 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24% 285.59 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.3% 135.92 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

No 43% 113.21 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

No 53% 94.33 shares
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 5% 96.2 shares