No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Polymarket Trader
kxt81419
0x597906db2bf48b80c8d471b6e802d8d5b19a7fbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $589.89
- Realized PnL
- $2.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $15.55
- Potential payout
- $840.55
- Potential profit
- $825
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$20.59
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $52.85
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $647.15
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $47.52
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $502.48
- Multiplier
- 11.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $82.99
- Potential payout
- $291.31
- Potential profit
- $208.32
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $63.85
- Potential payout
- $177.35
- Potential profit
- $113.5
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $51.63
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $123.38
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $57.89
- Potential payout
- $153.35
- Potential profit
- $95.46
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $19.02
No position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $55.85
- Potential payout
- $153
- Potential profit
- $97.16
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.35
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $89
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $63.5
- Potential payout
- $86.98
- Potential profit
- $23.48
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $26.57
Yes position
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $45.9
- Potential payout
- $76.5
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $19.13
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $28.1
- Potential payout
- $57.94
- Potential profit
- $29.84
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.7%
- Current value
- $12.07
- Potential payout
- $35.81
- Potential profit
- $23.74
- Multiplier
- 2.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.9
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $249.76
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $208.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $153.2
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.04
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $145.17
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $125.89
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.82
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $114.64
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $98.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $90.54
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.4
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.37
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.13
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $15.03
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $11.87
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $9.07
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $4.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?Yes 34.5% 22.37 shares
- Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?Yes 34.4% 0.01 shares
- Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?Yes 34.4% 13.43 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Yes 37% 12.03 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 28.3% 6 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 27.4% 20 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 27.3% 10.59 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 39% 177.35 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29% 34.02 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 30% 35 shares
- Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 48% 55.66 shares
- Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 59% 73.5 shares