ImperialTradingAT

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $8.31K
Potential profit: $8.31K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.88

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.67K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.48

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $458.33
Potential profit: $458.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $301.3
Potential profit: $301.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.08
Potential profit: $223.08
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $174.17
Potential profit: $174.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.44
Potential profit: $169.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $168.75
Potential profit: $168.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.39

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.04

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET