Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Polymarket Trader
lorielaila2796
0x59845209ded6c2f4f2d42d01278975c91edc8111
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.08
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94°F or higher on August 12?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94°F or higher on August 12?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 85.5% 47 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 38% 105 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 42% 105 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 88.3% 25 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 3.9% 33 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 98.2% 46 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 95.3% 8 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 95% 48 shares
- Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 1.5% 15 shares
- Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 1.5% 24 shares
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.7% 7 shares
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?Yes 3.2% 10 shares