Polymarket Trader

paesano

0x59a3e4d4b8c6fa6b526e48b93f7560c271f3961a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $3.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $894.25
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $508.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $200.41
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $906.84
Multiplier: 5.52x
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $17.01
Potential payout: $28.59
Potential profit: $11.58
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$6.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Dolphins position

Dolphins vs. Jets

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215

Cowboys position

Chiefs vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173

Lions position

Cowboys vs. Lions

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

Bears position

Bears vs. Eagles

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Jets position

Falcons vs. Jets

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Multiplier: 4.68x
User PnL: $117.21

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Bears position

Bears vs. Commanders

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.91

Bengals position

Bengals vs. Ravens

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.51

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Buccaneers

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.76

Patriots position

Giants vs. Patriots

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Commanders

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.84

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.36

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Buccaneers position

Cardinals vs. Buccaneers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.2

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Vikings

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Packers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Lions position

Lions vs. Commanders

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 2,392 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 56% 20 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 1,107.25 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 1,049.98 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.4% 3.23 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 30 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

No 98.1% 2,539.93 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66% 16.03 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 14.7% 583.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13?

Down 17% 286.29 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

No 81% 500 shares
Seahawks vs. Patriots

Patriots 2.1% 288.94 shares