Polymarket Trader

0x59ae8b11Dc6A8b62f4901015CBC2e3fF85e2E2b6-1774092883487

0x59ae8b11dc6a8b62f4901015cbc2e3ff85e2e2b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $179.62
Realized PnL: -$14.02
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.08
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $58.03
Potential payout: $289.44
Potential profit: $231.4
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$11.97

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $34.82
Potential payout: $240.96
Potential profit: $206.14
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $14.82

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $83.61
Potential profit: $80.14
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$6.53

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $70.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $36.22
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $26.28
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $26.22

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $58.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $51.25
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.2%
Current value: $22.91
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $31.44
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: $17.91

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $43.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $33.5
Potential profit: $30.32
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.5% 2,968.01 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 625 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.4% 301.88 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

No 20% 25 shares
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.2% 312.5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.2% 54.35 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 43.86 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 58.14 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 70.42 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 147.06 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 181.82 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares