No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $296.33
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$140.42
Polymarket Trader
E-girl
0x59bc482710bfd8303b27a0cb7e3051d193e03d81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.33
- Realized PnL
- $4.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$103
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.5
Yes position
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.05
No position
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.93
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $428.17
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.8
No position
Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.99
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.7
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.95
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.05
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.83
No position
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.5
No position
Will Melania say "Be Best" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
No position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.7
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.86
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.22
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.37
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.9% 1 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 64% 1.99 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 1.01 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 94.6% 99.99 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 26.4% 29 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?Yes 0.4% 99.98 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 45.7% 200 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?No 6% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 2.5% 420.37 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 23.2% 469.78 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 8.2% 3,009.99 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 15.8% 3,400 shares